Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college.[1][2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election.[1][2] Two daily tracking polls, the UPI/CVoter poll and the University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote victory or showed a nearly tied election.[3]

  1. ^ a b Peter Barnes, Senior elections and political analyst, BBC News (11 November 2016), "Reality Check: Should we give up on election polling?", BBC News, retrieved 12 November 2016{{citation}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  2. ^ a b Ethan Siegel (9 November 2016), "The Science Of Error: How Polling Botched The 2016 Election", Forbes magazine, retrieved 12 November 2016
  3. ^ "A Quick and Dirty Guide to Polls for the 2016 Election".

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